What the Hormuz Disruption Has and Has Not Changed for Saudi Arabia's Long-Run Production Outlook
The market has priced this as a logistics problem: the Strait of Hormuz shuts, barrels stop moving, the strait reopens, and supply returns. A closure removing close to 20 percent of global oil supplies raise has raised WTI prices to record levels and lowered global real GDP growth by an annualised 2.9 percentage points in Q2 2026 alone. |